Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Almere City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
2º
25
10º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
46 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 65 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 61 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 59 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 56 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 50 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 43 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 43 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
33% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
56% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 18 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 17 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
5 - 1
SCF
66%
18%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
NOO
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ZWA
2 - 3
RIJ
14%
17%
70%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
3 - 1
USV
27%
22%
50%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
VVS
1 - 4
RIJ
44%
21%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
ALM
71%
17%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALM
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
URK
1 - 1
ALM
29%
22%
49%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
HAR
51%
21%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TOG
1 - 0
ALM
32%
23%
45%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |