HNK Rijeka vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DZG
5 - 0
RIJ
72%
17%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
RIJ
1 - 0
DZG
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
RIJ
0 - 1
HKS
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
DZG
4 - 2
RIJ
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
NKV
1 - 1
RIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ZAD
0 - 0
NKV
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
DZG
5 - 0
ZAD
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ZAD
0 - 3
OSI
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HKS
5 - 1
ZAD
73%
17%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ZAD
1 - 3
HKS
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |