HNK Rijeka vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
STP
1 - 0
RIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 2
STP
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 2
HDR
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
KIV
2 - 0
RIJ
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
RIJ
2 - 1
CAK
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
ZAD
3 - 2
HNS
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAD
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
OSI
2 - 0
ZAD
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ZAD
7 - 1
TOP
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 3
ZAD
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |