Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
HNK Rijeka vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
CHA
1 - 1
WRE
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
WRE
0 - 0
LEI
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
LEY
0 - 1
WRE
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
FUL
0 - 1
WRE
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
WRE
0 - 0
BHA
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |