Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 8-6
HNK Rijeka vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
RIJ
0 - 1
DZG
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
RIJ
0 - 1
HNS
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
HDR
0 - 1
RIJ
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
RIJ
3 - 1
SLA
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
DZG
2 - 0
RIJ
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 5
BIR
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
HIB
2 - 1
VAL
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
VAL
4 - 2
PIE
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
FLO
0 - 2
VAL
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VAL
1 - 2
SLI
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |