HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven Belupo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
4º
2º
33
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 3
DZG
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OSI
2 - 0
RIJ
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 0
RIJ
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NKV
3 - 1
RIJ
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 2
DZG
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 3
DZG
18%
25%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
SLA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SLA
4 - 1
HNG
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
IST
3 - 0
SLA
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
HKS
18%
25%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |