Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 1-6
HNK Rijeka vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
IST
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
RIJ
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 0
RIJ
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
ELF
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
LOK
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 0
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
SHF
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKN
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |