Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SPL
2 - 3
RIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ZAD
1 - 0
RIJ
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
NKV
2 - 1
RIJ
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
RIJ
0 - 2
INT
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HNS
1 - 1
RIJ
36%
28%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ZAD
3 - 0
NKV
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
INT
2 - 0
NKV
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
NKV
2 - 1
RIJ
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
OSI
0 - 0
NKV
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |