HNK Rijeka vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
DZG
2 - 0
RIJ
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
RIJ
0 - 0
NKV
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
RIJ
3 - 0
ZAG
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
HNK
0 - 1
RIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
RIJ
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ZAD
3 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 3
DZG
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NKV
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 4
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |