Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
HNK Rijeka vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
2 - 1
RIJ
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
RIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 1
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
B36
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
B36
1 - 3
RIJ
31%
24%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 1
LIL
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
RIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
72%
19%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
34%
27%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |