Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-1HNK Rijeka vs K Beerschot VAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 Sep. 1979 |
BEE
0 - 0
RIJ
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
01 Nov. 1978 |
KSK
2 - 0
RIJ
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
18 Oct. 1978 |
RIJ
0 - 0
KSK
57%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
27 Sep. 1978 |
WRE
2 - 0
RIJ
29%
23%
49%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
13 Sep. 1978 |
RIJ
3 - 0
WRE
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
K Beerschot VAC
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 Sep. 1979 |
BEE
2 - 1
BRU
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
23 Sep. 1979 |
BER
1 - 2
BEE
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
19 Sep. 1979 |
BEE
0 - 0
RIJ
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
15 Sep. 1979 |
BEE
1 - 1
ANT
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
08 Sep. 1979 |
KSK
0 - 0
BEE
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |