HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
4º
2º
41
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
6 - 1
KFD
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 0
RIJ
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KFD
0 - 1
RIJ
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RIJ
4 - 0
RUD
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RIJ
4 - 0
ROG
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
IST
0 - 3
DZG
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
IST
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
IST
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
IST
1 - 3
ORI
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
ROG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |