HNK Rijeka vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
3º
2º
18
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 65 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 63 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 55 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 49 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 41 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 39 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
29% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
62% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NER
1 - 3
RIJ
4%
13%
82%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 1
RIJ
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
DZG
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
RIJ
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HNS
0 - 0
NKV
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 2
HNS
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 1
HNS
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
HNS
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
HNS
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |