HNK Rijeka vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
4º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 0
RIJ
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 3
OSI
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
RIJ
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
RIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 1
HNS
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
DZG
14%
23%
64%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |