HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
4º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
DJU
2 - 0
RIJ
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
DJU
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
FCK
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
RIJ
45%
22%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HNG
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
HNG
1 - 1
OSI
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 2
HNG
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HNG
3 - 3
LOK
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |