HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
3º
1º
13
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
17 | 69 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 66 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
42% | 20.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
46.5% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
RIJ
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
IST
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
RIJ
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 2
DZG
28%
24%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 1
HNG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
QAR
68%
18%
15%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
HNS
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 2
DZG
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |