FK RFS vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
89
1º
7º
1º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 6
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 6
RIG
6%
16%
78%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
BFC
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
AUD
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
JGV
2 - 0
VAL
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
FSM
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 2
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
BFC
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |