Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-4
FK RFS vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
RIG
18%
20%
62%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 3
RIG
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
RIG
2 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
FKS
1 - 0
RIG
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
RIG
1 - 2
LIE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 2
OLI
20%
24%
57%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 3
RIG
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
SLO
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |