FK RFS vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
6º
1º
29
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
UES
0 - 2
RIG
16%
19%
65%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FSM
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 3
BOG
33%
23%
45%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 0
RIG
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
GRO
4%
8%
88%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
FKT
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |