FK RFS vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
6º
1º
26
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 55 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
97% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 3
BOG
33%
23%
45%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 0
RIG
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 4
RIG
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 4
FSM
4%
8%
88%
|
62 | 12 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
39%
27%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |