FK RFS vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
6º
1º
28
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
BFC
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
RIG
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
RIG
45%
24%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 1
FKT
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
PRA
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |