FK RFS vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
1º
15
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 70 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RIG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 4
RIG
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
FSM
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 2
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
LIE
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
LIE
26%
26%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |