FK RFS vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
6º
1º
87
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 1
AND
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
RIG
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 2
AUD
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
RIG
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 0
RIG
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
FSM
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
10 - 1
FKT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
DTE
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |