FK RFS vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
6º
1º
38
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 88 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 79 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 70 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 55 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
96% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
RIG
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
RIG
45%
24%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
RIG
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |