FK RFS vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
1º
31
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 70 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 47 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RIG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
FSM
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 3
BFC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
LIE
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |