Rigas FS II vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
2º
12
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
38% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
43.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
RIG
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 4
SMI
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 3
SKA
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
FSL
92%
6%
3%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
SMI
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 4
SMI
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 2
VAL
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
GRO
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |