Rigas FS II vs Progress / AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
2º
16
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
38% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
43.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 2
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
TUK
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
RIG
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
RFA
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 1
FSL
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
PRA
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
3 - 2
PRA
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
PRA
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 4
RIG
19%
23%
57%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |