Rigas FS II vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
6º
30
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
RIG
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 1
GRO
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RIG
4 - 0
RIG
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
RIG
8 - 1
RFA
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
FKB
89%
9%
3%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
KFV
1 - 0
TUK
4%
9%
87%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
KFV
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 56 | 48 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KFV
2 - 3
SAL
5%
12%
84%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
KFV
95%
4%
1%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 1
SMI
2%
6%
92%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | -1 |