Riga FC II vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
10º
4º
29
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 27 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 1
RIG
14%
22%
65%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 7
RIG
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
RIG
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
ALB
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
SUP
53%
22%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OUD
4 - 0
VAL
11%
18%
71%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 4
VAL
21%
21%
58%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |