Riga FC II vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
2º
28
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 1
RIG
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 0
RIG
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 19 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
9 - 0
RFA
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 6
RIG
13%
19%
69%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DRS
1 - 2
RIG
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
RFA
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
DRS
85%
11%
5%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
TUK
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
VAL
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
SMI
80%
13%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |