Riga FC II vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
10º
4º
50
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 27 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
OUD
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VJK
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
RIG
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
RIG
15%
17%
69%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 3
HJP
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SUP
5 - 0
RFA
73%
16%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 2
SUP
70%
16%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SUP
0 - 2
LEV
26%
22%
53%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 5
NOM
7%
11%
82%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 1
SUP
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |