Riga FC II vs Progress / AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
2º
23
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
RIG
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 2
RIG
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 1
RIG
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 0
RFA
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 4
PRA
35%
21%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 4
DRS
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TUK
3 - 1
PRA
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
PRA
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |