Riga FC II vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+533%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
10º
4º
19
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 27 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VJK
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
RIG
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
RIG
15%
17%
69%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 3
HJP
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
DRS
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 1
OUD
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
OUD
4 - 0
RIG
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OUD
1 - 1
PAR
16%
17%
67%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 1
OUD
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |