Riga FC II vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
10º
4º
30
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
9 - 0
TUK
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 1
RIG
59%
21%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 4
RIG
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
RIG
32%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 1
RIG
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
SUP
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 2
KFV
26%
22%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 3
MAR
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
KFV
60%
18%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |