Riga FC II vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
10º
4º
16
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 65% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 1
RIG
59%
21%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 4
RIG
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 29 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
RIG
32%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 1
RIG
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 0
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
OUD
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
TUK
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
68%
16%
17%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
4 - 1
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |