Rieti vs Tiferno Lerchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
RIE
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
SDT
4 - 2
RIE
61%
22%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 3
ARZ
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 1
FOL
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
5 - 1
RIE
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tiferno Lerchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TIF
2 - 1
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNV
0 - 1
TIF
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TIF
1 - 1
SPO
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 2
TIF
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
TIF
0 - 5
FOL
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |