Rieti vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
RIE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
RIE
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
TER
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
FRA
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAV
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
5 - 2
CAV
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 1
TAR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |