Rieti vs Montespaccato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIE
2 - 1
SDT
13%
21%
65%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 2
RIE
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 0
RIE
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 2
ASD
62%
19%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RIE
3 - 4
UNV
66%
17%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montespaccato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARZ
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
UNV
3 - 2
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
ASD
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |