Rieti vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REG
3 - 2
RIE
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 3
JUS
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 0
RIE
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 5
RPO
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIE
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 1
USV
23%
26%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAV
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 1
SIC
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |