Rieti vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
0 - 1
CAT
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
RIE
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 0
BIS
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REN
2 - 1
RIE
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 1
PAG
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 6
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
JUS
4 - 0
MAT
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCC
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |