Rieti vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
RIE
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RIE
5 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
RIE
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 1
RIE
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
RIE
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LAQ
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
LAQ
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
LAQ
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RIM
3 - 1
LAQ
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |