Rieti vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 1
RIE
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 3
REG
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USV
5 - 1
RIE
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 1
FRA
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 2
RIE
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 2
CAT
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
SIC
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 0
CAT
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
SIC
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |