Rieti vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
RIE
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 0
BIS
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REN
2 - 1
RIE
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 1
PAG
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REG
3 - 2
RIE
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CAT
5 - 0
CAV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 0
CAT
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 0
CAT
19%
26%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
SAS
2 - 1
CAT
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |