Rieti vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
RIE
9%
18%
74%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIE
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 1
SAS
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OST
1 - 3
RIE
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 3
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
AVE
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 2
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ULD
2 - 1
AVE
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 0
NUO
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |