Rieti vs Astrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OLB
1 - 0
RIE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 1
RIE
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIE
4 - 1
LAN
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
RIE
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 1
TRA
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
AST
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AST
0 - 3
BUD
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GRO
4 - 2
AST
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
OST
20%
24%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |