Rieti vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 2
RIE
7%
17%
77%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
RIE
3 - 0
SAN
85%
10%
4%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SFF
1 - 1
RIE
22%
23%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 1
FLA
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 0
RIE
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
APR
2 - 0
OST
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NUO
1 - 1
APR
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
APR
3 - 2
BUD
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
APR
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
APR
0 - 0
MON
46%
21%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |