Rieti vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
RIE
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 2
SFF
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 4
RIE
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
RIE
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 1
ALB
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 3
MON
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NUO
5 - 1
ANZ
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 1
LAN
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TRA
4 - 1
ANZ
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
APR
1 - 2
ANZ
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |