SV Ried vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
13º
2º
51
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
RBS
1 - 0
RIE
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AMS
2 - 3
RIE
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
RIE
5 - 0
SVH
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
RIE
1 - 2
WOL
32%
24%
43%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SWB
0 - 0
RIE
13%
24%
63%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 4
RAP
14%
18%
67%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 2
FAC
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SVL
2 - 3
VIE
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 3
SCA
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VIE
0 - 0
DOR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |