UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 4-2
SV Ried vs Tiraspol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
DTB
0 - 1
RIE
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
RIE
3 - 1
DTB
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
RAP
6 - 0
RIE
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
RIE
2 - 0
AWM
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
RIE
2 - 2
MAT
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
LPO
1 - 3
TIR
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
TIR
1 - 0
LPO
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
TIR
2 - 0
ARA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ARA
1 - 0
TIR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 0
TIR
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |