SV Ried vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
2 - 0
FCL
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FAC
0 - 1
RIE
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
4 - 0
SVH
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 1
RIE
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 11
RIE
6%
14%
80%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 2
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
PSG
13%
18%
69%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |